[FYI] (Fwd) <nettime> PP2P: Massively Distributed Microcrime? (edited highlights)

["Axel H Horns" <horns@ipjur.com>]

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Date sent:      	Fri, 17 Aug 2001 08:39:32 -0400
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From:           	"R. A. Hettinga" <rah@shipwright.com>
Subject:        	<nettime> PP2P: Massively Distributed Microcrime? (edited
	highlights)


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To: NETTIME-L@bbs.thing.net
From: richard barbrook <richard@hrc.wmin.ac.uk>
Subject: <nettime> PP2P: Massively Distributed Microcrime? (edited
highlights) Date: Thu, 16 Aug 2001 21:52:03 +0100 (BST) Sender:
nettime-l-request@bbs.thing.net Reply-To: richard barbrook
<richard@hrc.wmin.ac.uk>

PP2P: Massively Distributed Microcrime?

Gartner, Inc.
Strategic Planning, SPA-13-7605
N. Jones
Research Note
9 July 2001


Personal peer-to-peer applications will entertain and inform
individuals but pose new risks to owners of intellectual property.

......

Personal P2P (PP2P) - The Next Step.

During the next decade, we will see mass adoption of personal
computing devices, such as super phones, personal digital assistants
(PDAs), toys and e-books.

.....

The opportunity and challenge arise when individuals can install
personal P2P applications on their personal platforms. Not only will
adjacent devices be able to communicate, but a sufficient density of
PP2P devices in a region will allow devices to contact with others
outside their direct networking range by using intermediate devices to
forward messages, much as the Internet does today...

Potential applications include:

....

* Media Piracy. A P2P application running on personal devices could
distribute pirated media widely and quickly in places containing a
high density of potential recipients, such as schools and clubs. The
music industry was scared by Napster, but at least it knew who it
could sue. PP2P applications provide nobody to sue and no single point
at which to intercept or prevent such activity.

.....

Inhibitors will include:

....

* Vendors or governments might be pressured by vested interests - such
as the music industry - to apply some form of PP2P controls at the
device level; however, we forecast that this will not prove successful
(0.8 probability) Overall, we do not expect that such factors will
prevent PP2P systems from becoming a major technical and social trend.

Who will create and use PP2P applications?

....

The first adopters are likely to be technically adept affluent
professionals, followed by teenagers, the latter probably driven by
applications such as dating, messaging and media piracy.

Who wins, and who loses?

The winners will include individuals, who will gain new ways to
interact, share information and play games. Other winners will include
organizations that can profit from communicating with groups of
adjacent individuals. The losers will include organizations that might
benefit from controlling, monitoring and intercepting communications -
such as law enforcement agencies and owners of small to midsize units
of intellectual property. The music industry, in particular, will be
exposed to greater piracy risks with fewer opportunities for control.
It seems likely that systems such as PP2P will make it impossible to
police copying of media, forcing intellectual property owners to
concentrate on encryption, rather than prevention.

....


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-- 
-----------------
R. A. Hettinga <mailto: rah@ibuc.com>
The Internet Bearer Underwriting Corporation <http://www.ibuc.com/> 44
Farquhar Street, Boston, MA 02131 USA "... however it may deserve
respect for its usefulness and antiquity, [predicting the end of the
world] has not been found agreeable to experience." -- Edward Gibbon,
'Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire'



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