[atlarge-discuss] analysis

[DannyYounger@cs.com]

It's a simple fact of life that groups that have no power are quickly 
subsumed by groups that are capable of wielding power.  The powerless 
At-Large is effectively dead, now subsumed by governments that can 
legitimately make the claim that they collectively represent the interests of 
the broader user community.  

While participants on this list go through the futile motions of 
self-organization (an exercise designed by ICANN to keep people busy and 
quiet), well-established power blocs like the European Commission negotiate 
directly with the U.S. Department of Commerce to strengthen the role of 
governments in the namespace.  

We are witnessing a transition that will ultimately lead to an international 
treaty organization.  In the immediate future, this means denying a role to 
the At-Large and expanding the role of governments.  Over the course of time, 
we will next begin to see a diminished role for the currently established 
"stakeholders" (to the same degree that governments are now collectively 
acting to minimize the role of the ITU, an organization similarly structured 
with a commercial component).  

Finally, a treaty organization will emerge to replace the private entity 
model.   

The At-Large is in a terminal coma.  The ALAC is nothing more than an open 
casket awaiting the final moment of burial.  Get over this lost cause, and 
get on with your lives.  Find another path to influence the decision-makers.  
In my view, the path you are on now leads nowhere.

Best wishes to all.


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